Information about finance, the economy and business. Entertaining and informative. Seeking Alpha Certified Mark Sunshine Chairman & CEO

Category Archive: Money Supply

  1. Renminbi to Replace the Dollar as King of Currencies? Not Likely

    There is a lot of spec­u­la­tion that the dol­lar is los­ing ground to the Chi­nese ren­minbi and that sooner or later the Fed will share the global stage with Chi­nese mon­e­tary author­i­ties. Chi­nese gov­ern­ment offi­cials and Jere­miad west­ern eco­nomic fore­cast­ers who claim that the ren­minbi will replace the dol­lar as the world’s pre­mier cur­rency cer­tainly […] [read full story]

    Posted in: China, Economic Statistics, economy, Finance, M2, Monetary Policy, Money Supply, Public Policy, Seeking Alpha, Trade, Trade Finance
  2. And Now For Some Really Bad Economic News…

     The U.S. econ­omy has a long way to go before the eco­nomic recov­ery will be either sus­tain­able or robust.  Mon­e­tary indi­ca­tors don’t look good and are once again get­ting worse.  I am con­cerned that the finan­cial sys­tem hasn’t recov­ered enough for the Fed­eral Reserve to with­draw from its pro­gram of quan­ti­ta­tive eas­ing.   While most of the […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Credit Crisis, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Reserve, Finance, Liquidity Trap, M1, M2, Monetary Policy, Money Supply, Politics, Public Policy
  3. The Hyper-Inflation Myth

    Con­ven­tional wis­dom is that the Fed’s print­ing presses are run­ning over­time and the econ­omy is awash with liq­uid­ity.  Just yes­ter­day the National Asso­ci­a­tion for Busi­ness Eco­nom­ics reported that almost half the econ­o­mists they sur­veyed believed that Fed­eral Reserve Pol­icy is infla­tion­ary.  Too bad the NABE sur­veyed econ­o­mists and con­ven­tional wis­dom are wrong. Econ­o­mists, pun­dits and jour­nal­ists […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Reserve, Finance, Inflation, monetary policy, Money Supply
  4. The New Supersized Fed

    Fed watch­ers need to stop pan­ick­ing when they look at the new super­sized Fed bal­ance sheet and mon­e­tary base. The Fed’s bal­ance sheet doesn’t nec­es­sar­ily mean run­away infla­tion is in our future or that the Fed is out of con­trol. The Fed got super­sized because Bernanke & Com­pany came to appre­ci­ate the U.S.‘s spe­cial role […] [read full story]

    Posted in: Bernanke, economy, Excess Reserves, Federal Reserve, Finance, monetary policy, Money Supply, Politics, Public Policy
  5. What If The Fed’s Isn’t Printing Money Like A Drunken Sailor?

    What if con­ven­tional wis­dom about the Fed is wrong and it isn’t print­ing money like a drunken sailor? Well…that would make most of the media cov­er­age of the bond mar­ket and the econ­omy wildly off the mark. As it turns out while media talk­ing heads were rant­ing about how the Fed was run­ning their print­ing presses […] [read full story]

    Posted in: Bernanke, Brad Setser, Economic Statistics, Federal Reserve, Finance, M1, M2, M3, monetary policy, Money Supply, Politics, Public Policy
  6. Don’t Worry About The Debt Tsunami

    It looks like in the next few years newly issued Trea­sury and agency guar­an­teed res­i­den­tial mort­gage debt may cre­ate a debt tsunami that will swamp the econ­omy. For­tu­nately, looks can be deceiv­ing. While inter­est rates are likely to rise for both long matu­rity Trea­sury notes and bonds and agency guar­an­teed res­i­den­tial mort­gage debt, ris­ing rates […] [read full story]

    Posted in: Credit Crisis, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Reserve, Finance, monetary policy, Money Supply, Public Policy
  7. 7 Faint Signs That The Economy’s Bottom Is In Sight

    There are opaque and early signs that the U.S. econ­omy has started the begin­ning of a bot­tom­ing process. Just like a div­ing sub­ma­rine needs to stop its down­ward motion and reach its low­est depth before it can resur­face, the econ­omy needs to go through the steps of slow­ing its decline and sta­bi­liz­ing before it can […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Bernanke, CPI, Credit Crisis, Deflation, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Reserve, Finance, Fiscal Policy, Inflation, M1, M2, monetary policy, Money Supply, Obama, Politics, Public Policy, TARP
  8. Sunshine Travel Log Blog – I Went Fishing And The Fed Slowed Money Supply Growth

    Last week­end I went fish­ing in Tokyo har­bor. The below pic­ture is my friend Masura Ono with a really big fish that he caught on his boat. Ono-san is a famous lawyer in Tokyo. He is a senior part­ner at the largest law firm in Japan as well as a law pro­fes­sor at the Uni­ver­sity […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Deflation, Economic Statistics, Federal Reserve, Finance, Inflation, M1, M2, monetary policy, Money Supply, Public Policy
  9. Money Supply And Economic Data Weekly Watch — How the Fed is Making Banks Lend

    The Fed­eral Reserve is forc­ing banks to lend or face finan­cial dis­as­ter. The Fed’s lat­est strat­egy gives banks the stark choice of lend­ing or los­ing a lot of money from oper­a­tions. Every­one knows the Fed cut its tar­get Fed­eral Funds rate to the bone this week. In a less obvi­ous move, the Fed is also […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Bernanke, Credit Crisis, Deflation, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Funds Rate, Federal Reserve, Finance, M1, monetary policy, Money Supply, Politics
  10. Money Supply And Economic Data Weekly Watch – Living in the Twilight Zone

    We’ve entered the twi­light zone. This week’s money sup­ply and eco­nomic data is sur­real. Money sup­ply is grow­ing at an unbe­liev­able pace. As mea­sured by sea­son­ally adjusted M1 and M2, the Fed announced that money sup­ply set new all time records. The quick rate of growth for money sup­ply is actu­ally accel­er­at­ing. Over the last […] [read full story]

    Posted in: Cox, Deflation, Depression, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Funds Rate, Federal Reserve, Finance, Hoover, Inflation, M1, M2, Madoff, monetary policy, Money Supply, Public Policy, SEC