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Category Archive: Deflation

  1. The Inflation Monster Is Tame

    Despite the quick run up in gaso­line prices, the U.S. econ­omy isn’t about to be eaten by the infla­tion mon­ster. While it is a good bet that some­time in the next few years the Fed will have to deal with ris­ing infla­tion, now isn’t the time to change mon­e­tary pol­icy in an effort to slay […] [read full story]

    Posted in: CPI, Deflation, Economic Statistics, economy, Finance, Inflation, M2, Monetary Policy, Oil, Public Policy
  2. Will Monetary Policy Cause Rapid Inflation? Maybe Not Says An Economist At the St. Louis Fed.

    Con­ven­tional wis­dom sug­gests that a very aggres­sive mon­e­tary pol­icy will cause rapid infla­tion. How­ever, in this month’s Fed­eral Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, William Gavin says that the con­ven­tional wis­dom maybe wrong and that infla­tion isn’t pre­des­tined or even a likely result of cur­rent mon­e­tary pol­icy. Gavin believes that if the econ­omy recov­ers before […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Credit Crisis, Deflation, Depression, Economic Statistics, economy, Excess Reserves, Federal Reserve, Finance, Inflation, monetary policy, Public Policy
  3. 7 Faint Signs That The Economy’s Bottom Is In Sight

    There are opaque and early signs that the U.S. econ­omy has started the begin­ning of a bot­tom­ing process. Just like a div­ing sub­ma­rine needs to stop its down­ward motion and reach its low­est depth before it can resur­face, the econ­omy needs to go through the steps of slow­ing its decline and sta­bi­liz­ing before it can […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Bernanke, CPI, Credit Crisis, Deflation, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Reserve, Finance, Fiscal Policy, Inflation, M1, M2, monetary policy, Money Supply, Obama, Politics, Public Policy, TARP
  4. Sunshine Travel Log Blog – I Went Fishing And The Fed Slowed Money Supply Growth

    Last week­end I went fish­ing in Tokyo har­bor. The below pic­ture is my friend Masura Ono with a really big fish that he caught on his boat. Ono-san is a famous lawyer in Tokyo. He is a senior part­ner at the largest law firm in Japan as well as a law pro­fes­sor at the Uni­ver­sity […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Deflation, Economic Statistics, Federal Reserve, Finance, Inflation, M1, M2, monetary policy, Money Supply, Public Policy
  5. 9 Predictions for 2009

    Set forth below are my pre­dic­tions for 2009. Let’s hope that at least some of them come true. Early in 2009, the banks start lend­ing again In Jan­u­ary, the banks will real­ize that they can­not avoid lend­ing for­ever. The Fed­eral Reserve will finan­cially pun­ish any bank that refuses to lend by manip­u­lat­ing inter­est rates so that banks […] [read full story]

    Posted in: 2009 Predictions, BANKS, Credit Crisis, Deflation, Economic Statistics, Finance, Fiscal Policy, Inflation, Madoff, monetary policy, Obama, Politics, Public Policy, Regulatory Reform
  6. Money Supply And Economic Data Weekly Watch — How the Fed is Making Banks Lend

    The Fed­eral Reserve is forc­ing banks to lend or face finan­cial dis­as­ter. The Fed’s lat­est strat­egy gives banks the stark choice of lend­ing or los­ing a lot of money from oper­a­tions. Every­one knows the Fed cut its tar­get Fed­eral Funds rate to the bone this week. In a less obvi­ous move, the Fed is also […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Bernanke, Credit Crisis, Deflation, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Funds Rate, Federal Reserve, Finance, M1, monetary policy, Money Supply, Politics
  7. Money Supply And Economic Data Weekly Watch – Living in the Twilight Zone

    We’ve entered the twi­light zone. This week’s money sup­ply and eco­nomic data is sur­real. Money sup­ply is grow­ing at an unbe­liev­able pace. As mea­sured by sea­son­ally adjusted M1 and M2, the Fed announced that money sup­ply set new all time records. The quick rate of growth for money sup­ply is actu­ally accel­er­at­ing. Over the last […] [read full story]

    Posted in: Cox, Deflation, Depression, Economic Statistics, economy, Federal Funds Rate, Federal Reserve, Finance, Hoover, Inflation, M1, M2, Madoff, monetary policy, Money Supply, Public Policy, SEC
  8. The Wall Street Journal Is Wrong To Underplay Deflation

    Today’s Wall Street Jour­nal Heard On The Street col­umn said that the “air maybe going out of the defla­tion risk”. The arti­cle states “…his­tory shows how quickly defla­tion can give way to infla­tion. Paul Kas­riel, direc­tor of eco­nomic research at North­ern Trust notes that in 1933, the U.S. suf­fered severe defla­tion, yet the fol­low­ing year […] [read full story]

    Posted in: Deflation, Economic Statistics, Finance, Great Depression, Inflation, Paul Kasriel, Wall Street Journal
  9. Money Supply And Economic Data Weekly Watch – Deflation Hurts The Economy Like Hydrochloric Acid Burns Through Steel

    Defla­tion hurts the econ­omy like hydrochlo­ric acid burns through steel. Falling prices destroy cor­po­rate and house­hold bal­ance sheets and make it impos­si­ble for the finan­cial sec­tor to func­tion nor­mally. Demand is destroyed by defla­tion which in turn leads to more defla­tion. The weak­est sec­tors are hurt first, but defla­tion quickly burns through healthy indus­tries. This […] [read full story]

    Posted in: BANKS, Bernanke, CPI, Deflation, Economic Statistics, Finance, GDP, Inflation, M1, M2, Manufacturing, monetary policy, Money Supply, Obama, Oil, Politics, Public Policy, Retail Sales